Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.028320 0.030377 0.032521 0.034925 0.037550 0.040332 0.043509
2025-07-06 0.025290 0.028270 0.031536 0.035395 0.039845 0.044835 0.050883
2025-07-13 0.022997 0.026507 0.030502 0.035412 0.041321 0.048248 0.057052
2025-07-20 0.021497 0.025404 0.029988 0.035811 0.043074 0.051917 0.063630
2025-07-27 0.020016 0.024143 0.029112 0.035598 0.043936 0.054423 0.068821
2025-08-03 0.018775 0.023053 0.028319 0.035361 0.044659 0.056700 0.073777
2025-08-10 0.017724 0.022109 0.027615 0.035140 0.045322 0.058864 0.078660
2025-08-17 0.016842 0.021314 0.027032 0.035004 0.046039 0.061086 0.083721
2025-08-24 0.015921 0.020406 0.026233 0.034505 0.046188 0.062485 0.087646
2025-08-31 0.015043 0.019504 0.025383 0.033866 0.046072 0.063457 0.090961
2025-09-07 0.014371 0.018840 0.024813 0.033569 0.046402 0.065060 0.095303
2025-09-14 0.013773 0.018245 0.024303 0.033317 0.046760 0.066697 0.099780
2025-09-21 0.013101 0.017521 0.023583 0.032729 0.046592 0.067538 0.103076
2025-09-28 0.012773 0.017265 0.023510 0.033080 0.047854 0.070649 0.110317
2025-10-05 0.012362 0.016871 0.023216 0.033077 0.048556 0.072906 0.116288
2025-10-12 0.012087 0.016657 0.023170 0.033440 0.049841 0.076166 0.124236
2025-10-19 0.011674 0.016223 0.022777 0.033242 0.050207 0.077922 0.129644
2025-10-26 0.011282 0.015804 0.022386 0.033024 0.050518 0.079589 0.135001
2025-11-02 0.010919 0.015413 0.022019 0.032821 0.050835 0.081271 0.140508
2025-11-09 0.010598 0.015072 0.021713 0.032696 0.051268 0.083170 0.146568
2025-11-16 0.010212 0.014619 0.021216 0.032236 0.051100 0.083980 0.150555
2025-11-23 0.009817 0.014138 0.020657 0.031648 0.050674 0.084292 0.153555
2025-11-30 0.009517 0.013794 0.020299 0.031375 0.050782 0.085580 0.158637